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Title: #772, Learning Curve


jaimehlers - April 21, 2012 12:04 AM (GMT)
It's starting to come together now, why Videoland broke so badly.

Zap Rowsdower - April 21, 2012 01:38 AM (GMT)
Also explains why people from the real world have an advantage over her - even if she was able to affect people from the world of dust and chance that way, we don't HAVE unexplained gaps in our past for her to edit, even at her full power.

mordain - April 21, 2012 03:12 AM (GMT)
I'm sure this has no significance to Ryan's memory troubles.

Gaius - April 21, 2012 06:23 AM (GMT)
Personally, I'm most concerned by Alex's answering the limits of the Sovereign's power by saying, "Oh, she used to be pretty limited, back when she was asleep and broken," and then kinda trailing off. I mean, we know the Sovereign isn't quite so defeated as one might think* (and, looking back through the archives, I wonder if Alex speaks of her here), but I got the impression she might be in a more... benign, or at least no more dangerous state. Curious and worrying...

* I cannot for the life of me find the comic. -_- I think it might be around the time Alex says the Sovereign is fate.

Sir Donald - April 21, 2012 06:35 AM (GMT)
This is 1 of 2 comics you might be referring to (plus it needs to have the "Lonely Cell" Tag added on as that's where the bulk of "action" happens in the comic). I'll find the other soon enough.

EDIT: Too tired. I think the relevant quote for the other comic starts with: "Well, if I had done to her what you did with me..."

HeroicJay - April 21, 2012 08:29 AM (GMT)
QUOTE (Gaius @ Apr 20 2012, 11:23 PM)
Personally, I'm most concerned by Alex's answering the limits of the Sovereign's power by saying, "Oh, she used to be pretty limited, back when she was asleep and broken," and then kinda trailing off.

The funny thing is, I read that more as him PITYING the SoS. Remember (even if it doesn't come true), the prediction is that Alex will kiss her. I have a strong suspicion she has a link with his past - perhaps to Hope Keene (or Hope PoV if they're legitimately different people.)

jaimehlers - April 21, 2012 11:29 AM (GMT)
The other one was relating to Rosa getting beaned by the treasure chest. That it was a rather direct and unsubtle manipulation of fate, and (I think) that comic concludes with Alex saying, "the Sovereign is fate".

HeroicJay - April 21, 2012 07:59 PM (GMT)
Nope, not then. It wouldn't have made any sense then, either, because Rosa getting beaned was not in the Sovereign's best interest (as Alex himself DID state.)

Alex DID use the line "the sovereign is fate", but it wasn't then.

Gaius - April 21, 2012 09:14 PM (GMT)
Found the "She is fate" line. It wasn't long after Rosa gets a chest to the head. Just long enough for Kain to butcher all of Mithral Town.*

* Give or take a Prettiest Girl therein.

The subsequent comic clarifies that it's more of a metaphor, though. Which is good (albeit not unexpected); the Cell comic after Rosa's beaning has Alex saying fate intervened to make it clear that then was not Cecil's time to die, as well as 'no one' intervened. My interpretation ties back to the notion of Videoland's "consciousness" abiding by something like narrative causality.

Sir Donald - April 22, 2012 12:41 AM (GMT)
And I've finally found the "Well if I did what you've done..." line. It's part of an interesting discussion between Alex and his captor that may be more relevant to this than I first thought...

jaimehlers - April 22, 2012 01:04 AM (GMT)
QUOTE (HeroicJay @ Apr 21 2012, 02:59 PM)
Nope, not then. It wouldn't have made any sense then, either, because Rosa getting beaned was not in the Sovereign's best interest (as Alex himself DID state.)

Alex DID use the line "the sovereign is fate", but it wasn't then.

I was referring to the comic Gaius linked. Must not have looked closely enough, cause I did see that one.

Alger - April 22, 2012 02:12 PM (GMT)
But, what is the deal with "oh lord". Why is it so shocking that it was Kefka?
Is it because the one fighting the touched (like with the shadow king) is the one actually furthering her goals?

Cyrus - April 22, 2012 03:52 PM (GMT)
That seemed like the implication. Because she can control the people -around- those who are immune (or, at least, not touched), she can essentially get those who aren't touched to do exactly what she wants anyways.

Gaius - April 22, 2012 04:39 PM (GMT)
Ahhah, that does make sense. I was trying to put it together myself, but couldn't put my finger on it.

jaimehlers - April 22, 2012 09:11 PM (GMT)
It's worse than that, actually. Kefka didn't actually exist (in the sense of being a character who could influence events directly) at the beginning of that scene. But he was the only character in that entire world who would happily torment a child in order to get something he wanted. That means the Sovereign was working behind the scenes in order to cause Kefka's resurrection all along. And she did it subtly enough that nobody (not even us readers) recognized it until after the fact.

In fact, I think the only thing the Sovereign had to do directly was delay Maria from getting to the wedding - which she accomplished quite handily by an off-screen encounter with the girl. That led to Ultros kidnapping her, which split the heroes up, which led to only specific heroes encountering the child, which led to Kefka resurrecting, which led to Terra getting possessed and caused everyone to be distracted by that, which led to Kefka manipulating the child, which led to Celes being touched, which led to the world getting corrupted, which led to the girl being sent off to some other world, with at least five other characters outside of FFVI.

And all that, from the 'chance' encounter between Maria and the girl (reminds me of "for want of a nail"). Indeed, the Sovereign is very good at this. I can see why Alex is paranoid about her defeat at his hands being some even deeper plot of hers; I can see why he'd refer to her as fate. Compared to that, the intervention that saved Cecil was about as subtle as a brick through a window.

However, what I realized from this is that while the Sovereign is very, very good at manipulating fate, and foreseeing the consequences, she cannot do so perfectly (even if she were whole and awake). She only seems like she can because she can retcon things in order to change an outcome she doesn't want. For someone who claims to be able to see the future perfectly, she made a lot of obvious, dumb mistakes in her initial rampage through Videoland, such as not going straight for the Palace of Power to begin with, or wasting time in the Mushroom Kingdom, or letting Kevin get away to warn everyone what was going on.

I don't think she can perceive the actual future at all. I think she's just very, very good at predicting the future from the state of the present (which is why not being able to see Schrodinger is so critical), and she can retcon past events as needed to make the future she wants happen. In other words, she can predict where the ball will go and can have things ready to deal with potential problems before they happen, but she can't guarantee that something else won't happen instead. But she has stuff ready to help get things back on the right track even then.

For example, in retrospect, it's pretty evident now that the Sovereign retconned things in the Cecil/Edward encounter so that Kappa the Imp would be in the treasure chest that Rosa got beaned by. Because it was in the past, and hadn't been revealed, therefore it was fair game. And it got Edward back in play, rather than being stuck uselessly inside a battle where he couldn't do anything.

And that's another example of how subtle the Sovereign is. Treasure chest from the cave under Baron hitting Rosa with enough force to take out all her HP, inside another cave of all places? Very obvious fate manipulation. But who would have thought twice about Kappa being in the chest after the perfectly-rational-and-clearly-not-ridiculous exposition he gave?

HeroicJay - April 22, 2012 11:43 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (jaimehlers @ Apr 22 2012, 02:11 PM)
For example, in retrospect, it's pretty evident now that the Sovereign retconned things in the Cecil/Edward encounter so that Kappa the Imp would be in the treasure chest that Rosa got beaned by. Because it was in the past, and hadn't been revealed, therefore it was fair game. And it got Edward back in play, rather than being stuck uselessly inside a battle where he couldn't do anything.

And that's another example of how subtle the Sovereign is. Treasure chest from the cave under Baron hitting Rosa with enough force to take out all her HP, inside another cave of all places? Very obvious fate manipulation. But who would have thought twice about Kappa being in the chest after the perfectly-rational-and-clearly-not-ridiculous exposition he gave?

I hadn't even seen it from that angle. Alex essentially stated that it was not the SoS who caused Rosa to get smacked by a treasure box, but that doesn't mean she couldn't retcon the contents of the box to something that's reasonable, but previously unstated, as an attempt at making the most of the situation.

jaimehlers - April 23, 2012 12:32 AM (GMT)
QUOTE (HeroicJay @ Apr 22 2012, 06:43 PM)
I hadn't even seen it from that angle. Alex essentially stated that it was not the SoS who caused Rosa to get smacked by a treasure box, but that doesn't mean she couldn't retcon the contents of the box to something that's reasonable, but previously unstated, as an attempt at making the most of the situation.

I only just realized it as I was writing the post.

Anyway, about the only thing that would have been better for Edward (and presumably the Sovereign) would have been a chest with Phoenix Downs in it, but Alex already opened it, so she couldn't exactly retcon a second chest with Phoenix Downs in it, so having Kappa in the chest gave Edward a potential stand-in for the "battle" with Cecil.

Sir Donald - April 23, 2012 04:39 AM (GMT)
QUOTE (jaimehlers @ Apr 22 2012, 08:32 PM)
Anyway, about the only thing that would have been better for Edward (and presumably the Sovereign) would have been a chest with Phoenix Downs in it, but Alex already opened it, so she couldn't exactly retcon a second chest with Phoenix Downs in it, so having Kappa in the chest gave Edward a potential stand-in for the "battle" with Cecil.

First up, not only did the comic you quote give Alex 2 such chests with 99 PDs, but another such chest bopped Kainazzo on the noggin. Given that there were 297 Phoenix Downs that we knew of, what is there to say that there weren't 396?

Though that could be to say that the Sovereign thought that sending Edward Kappa's chest would indeed be better for her than sending him one with 99 PDs. That offers a bit of knowledge regarding her servants, and perhaps trust as well. If the latter as well, in this case, it was given rightly.

And there's some problems with your previous post as well:

QUOTE
In fact, I think the only thing the Sovereign had to do directly was delay Maria from getting to the wedding - which she accomplished quite handily by an off-screen encounter with the girl. That led to Ultros kidnapping her, which split the heroes up, ...


*BUZZ* Edgar only sent Red Shirts after Ultros, making this less "for want of a nail" and more "in spite of a nail". Heck, the only beings affected by this "nail" were Ultros, Churpon, and perhaps Maria, who were all presumably extracated by Dalton prior to the Sorrow Waves.

QUOTE
For someone who claims to be able to see the future perfectly, she made a lot of obvious, dumb mistakes in her initial rampage through Videoland, such as not going straight for the Palace of Power to begin with, or wasting time in the Mushroom Kingdom, or letting Kevin get away to warn everyone what was going on.


Ok, here I'm going with Hanlon's Razor and hypothesizing that the Sovereign's modus operendi of destroying worlds has a little (unintended) backfire effect insofar as the warps connected to those worlds are also destroyed, necessitating her to take the Slow Path to the Palace from W&W. As for Kevin, it wasn't her fault that his daughter was concerned for her parents and had the N-Forcers ready at zero hour. Granted, that doesn't explain how she was stalled at the Mushroom Kingdom, but I wouldn't call the first "obvious". I admit that it would, however, cast doubt on the Sovereign being omniscient; though at first she described herself as essentially a (counter-)force of nature.

Although it does bring up a question: How does She know what data is malleable and what data is set? Whose frame of reference would determine what is set?

jaimehlers - April 23, 2012 06:58 AM (GMT)
QUOTE (Sir Donald @ Apr 22 2012, 11:39 PM)
First up, not only did the comic you quote give Alex 2 such chests with 99 PDs, but another such chest bopped Kainazzo on the noggin.  Given that there were 297 Phoenix Downs that we knew of, what is there to say that there weren't 396?

There were. You missed a third stack in Alex's inventory. So the question becomes , why not 495? Not that it matters.

QUOTE (Sir Donald)
Though that could be to say that the Sovereign thought that sending Edward Kappa's chest would indeed be better for her than sending him one with 99 PDs.  That offers a bit of knowledge regarding her servants, and perhaps trust as well.  If the latter as well, in this case, it was given rightly.

Actually, there's a simpler reason. This version of Edward is so weak that he probably couldn't pick up 99 Phoenix Downs, and while I'm not completely sure, I think that you can't take partial stacks out of a treasure chest.

QUOTE (Sir Donald)
And there's some problems with your previous post as well:

*BUZZ*  Edgar only sent Red Shirts after Ultros, making this less "for want of a nail" and more "in spite of a nail".  Heck, the only beings affected by this "nail" were Ultros, Churpon, and perhaps Maria, who were all presumably  extracated by Dalton prior to the Sorrow Waves.

Actually, I was right, but it wasn't because of the Ultros thing. Strago having a heart attack upon Kefka's resurrection did, however, split them up. Same ultimate effect, different specific reason.

QUOTE (Sir Donald)
Ok, here I'm going with Hanlon's Razor and hypothesizing that the Sovereign's modus operendi of destroying worlds has a little (unintended) backfire effect insofar as the warps connected to those worlds are also destroyed, necessitating her to take the Slow Path to the Palace from W&W.  As for Kevin, it wasn't her fault that his daughter was concerned for her parents and had the N-Forcers ready at zero hour.  Granted, that doesn't explain how she was stalled at the Mushroom Kingdom, but I wouldn't call the first "obvious".  I admit that it would, however, cast doubt on the Sovereign being omniscient; though at first she described herself as essentially a (counter-)force of nature.

Thus my point. The Sovereign clearly doesn't have perfect future sight, even though she wants people to believe she does. For example, she should have been able to foresee that the warp zones would collapse (assuming you're right) if she could see the actual future. She should have been able to foresee Hope opening a warp zone to the world the Sovereign was in in order to send a rescue team. Now, admittedly, she might have gone berserk upon killing the Shadow King, and thus wouldn't have cared. But even that weakens her claim of omniscience, because she certainly should have been able to foresee that and plan accordingly.

QUOTE (Sir Donald)
Although it does bring up a question:  How does She know what data is malleable and what data is set?  Whose frame of reference would determine what is set?

It depends on how the the abilities and limitations of the Shard of Tears and the Mask of Tragedy work, I think. I'll have to think some on it.

Andrusi - April 25, 2012 09:28 PM (GMT)
I kinda wonder why this "fill-in-the-blanks" power is news to Ryan, considering that it's been mentioned before.

walkertexasdruid - April 27, 2012 05:30 AM (GMT)
So Kefka was the Shadow King, was it the little girl or Celes that was the Herald of Sorrow?

jaimehlers - April 27, 2012 10:33 AM (GMT)
I doubt it. Kefka being the Shadow King makes no real sense, and as we saw, X-Zone dislocates through space, not time.

aturtledoesbite - April 27, 2012 10:23 PM (GMT)
I must have missed the part where X-Zone doesn't do time shenanigans. Mind a link?

jaimehlers - April 27, 2012 10:47 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (aturtledoesbite @ Apr 27 2012, 05:23 PM)
I must have missed the part where X-Zone doesn't do time shenanigans. Mind a link?

Tell you what. If you show me the comic where it's been shown to do time shenanigans, then I'll retract my statement. Until then, I'm going with how Locke apparently ended up in a different place but not a different time.

Sir Donald - April 28, 2012 01:58 AM (GMT)
I agree with Jamie here, to my knowledge, X-Zone only allows travel in the 5th Dimension, not the first 4.

I have to wonder, though...

Do we have it backwards?

I mean, it's impossible for Kefka to become the Shadow King due to the time progression, as it's X-Zone and not a Time Gate...

... but what about the other way around? Could Kefka have previously been the Shadow King?

Yes, I know, the Shadow King was destroyed by the Sovereign...

But Kefka was supposed to have suffered a plot-death at endgame, and yet, here he is. What if that wasn't the first time?

What if he wasn't supposed to be in the world of FF6 in the first place?

aturtledoesbite - April 28, 2012 02:11 AM (GMT)
That's not proof, though. If you flip a coin three times, and it lands on heads each time, does that mean the coin has been tampered with in some way so as to always land on heads? No. (Warning: TV Tropes link.)

Therefore, since we have seen proof neither confirming nor denying X-Zone sending things through time, it should not be discounted as a possibility.

Gaius - April 28, 2012 02:35 AM (GMT)
Granted, we can't discount the possibility of time shenanigans, but as we have Locke popping up near the giant coffee cup we know has only been there since Alex's pre-Nexus visit and there's not yet any evidence of time travel... Well, small though the sample size is, I'm not sure time travel can really be argued with equal plausibility to spatial alone. Especially since Celes, the only knowledgeable person, spoke of the Void as though it were just a place.

Now, if everyone's actually been talking about Omega-Zone, well, yeah, all bets are off. Until we know the landing points.

mordain - April 28, 2012 03:39 AM (GMT)
QUOTE (aturtledoesbite @ Apr 27 2012, 06:11 PM)
Therefore, since we have seen proof neither confirming nor denying X-Zone sending things through time, it should not be discounted as a possibility.

It can't be proven false (yet), but that doesn't mean that it should be taken seriously, either. There's nothing denying it, but nor does it have any support beyond "I think that would be neat!", and thus no, it doesn't have to be taken seriously as a theory until you offer some backing to it.

I mean, someone can posit that Jaydee writes the comic from the back of a unicorn that is standing under a rainbow and flying through the air supported by fairies, but I don't think I would believe it, personally. But you can't prove it's not true, even if he shows up and denies it (or supports it, for that matter, since either way he could be lying).

I'm pretty sure that "the order of events doesn't matter" means that people's memories have been tampered with, not that there was time travel involved. Occam's razor, and it works off of Alex's goal with this scene - he said he was going to demonstrate why the order of things didn't matter, and he told us that the sovereign could change the past (or at least carefully edit people's memories of it). He didn't mention time travel at all - if time travel had been involved, then he failed rather badly at explaining what he said he was going to explain. True, he could be lying, but if we go that route we can't trust a damned thing, and that makes speculation completely meaningless (rather like my speculation about JD's comic-writing habits above).

Just Jon - April 28, 2012 03:46 AM (GMT)
QUOTE (mordain @ Apr 27 2012, 07:39 PM)

I mean, someone can posit that Jaydee writes the comic from the back of a unicorn that is standing under a rainbow and flying through the air supported by fairies, but I don't think I would believe it, personally. But you can't prove it's not true, even if he shows up and denies it (or supports it, for that matter, since either way he could be lying).


I've seen the small, cramp room where he is constantly beaten for late comics and has a cat constantly harassing him and chewing ont he wires that makes his job impossible, and there wasn't a single rainbow nor fairy to be found.

I did, however, ride a unicorn away from that horrible place, so it may be a skewed perspective.

jaimehlers - April 28, 2012 04:48 AM (GMT)
QUOTE (aturtledoesbite @ Apr 27 2012, 09:11 PM)
That's not proof, though. If you flip a coin three times, and it lands on heads each time, does that mean the coin has been tampered with in some way so as to always land on heads? No. (Warning: TV Tropes link.)

Therefore, since we have seen proof neither confirming nor denying X-Zone sending things through time, it should not be discounted as a possibility.

And note that I'm not saying it's not possible. But I'm not going to take it as a probability or a certainty until I see evidence to demonstrate it.

Dojji - May 4, 2012 01:28 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (mordain @ Apr 28 2012, 03:39 AM)
QUOTE (aturtledoesbite @ Apr 27 2012, 06:11 PM)
Therefore, since we have seen proof neither confirming nor denying X-Zone sending things through time, it should not be discounted as a possibility.

It can't be proven false (yet), but that doesn't mean that it should be taken seriously, either. There's nothing denying it, but nor does it have any support beyond "I think that would be neat!", and thus no, it doesn't have to be taken seriously as a theory until you offer some backing to it.

I mean, someone can posit that Jaydee writes the comic from the back of a unicorn that is standing under a rainbow and flying through the air supported by fairies, but I don't think I would believe it, personally. But you can't prove it's not true, even if he shows up and denies it (or supports it, for that matter, since either way he could be lying).

I'm pretty sure that "the order of events doesn't matter" means that people's memories have been tampered with, not that there was time travel involved. Occam's razor, and it works off of Alex's goal with this scene - he said he was going to demonstrate why the order of things didn't matter, and he told us that the sovereign could change the past (or at least carefully edit people's memories of it). He didn't mention time travel at all - if time travel had been involved, then he failed rather badly at explaining what he said he was going to explain. True, he could be lying, but if we go that route we can't trust a damned thing, and that makes speculation completely meaningless (rather like my speculation about JD's comic-writing habits above).

Fails the occam's razor test. It is not the least improbable remaining option after eliminating all the impossibilities. Not even in a comic where the word "impossible" is all but irrelevant.

The least improbable remaining option is that the Shadow King was his own character and had his own arc in the backstory. That may not be the actual truth (heck, for all we know right now, it was Ryan) but it's the smart-money bet right now.

Frankly, the Shadow King's MO doesn't match Kefka's. Kefka in the game relied on his own brutal unpredictability and complete lack of inhibitions to rise to power, and when he had power, he used it like a bludgeon. No finesse at all. NOTHING like the Shadow King, whose forte was a mastery of the fine art of picking his battles.




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